Mar
24
2010

Google Keyword Tools

Google Keyword Tools:
Huge Difference in Official Stats
From Two Google Keyword Tools
On the Same Keywords

Today I would like to touch a very interesting topic – how accurate Google is when it comes down to showing search volume for keywords. I noticed that official Google keyword tools are often contradicting to each other. And sometimes the gap in stats can be huge.

Before I go to the proofs – I want to make one thing clear. I do not think that the results of my research prove anything about “Google conspiring against the simple users …”

You see, if Google would really conspire, then they would never show the gap that I noticed (because this is a gap between the stats of their own tools and it is so easy to hide it). So, most likely we are talking about something in terms of how accurately Google processes the information and what we can do about it.

Ok, Let’s Get Down to My Real Case Story
And How this Gap in Official Stats
Popped Out…

I was doing a keyword research in Internet marketing niche. And I noticed that 2 keywords – ‘Internet marketing’ and ‘Internet marketing tools’ have nearly the same level of average monthly traffic. And that bashed me out, because definitely this was very strange: ‘Internet marketing’ is a huge keyword and beyond any doubt it should have times more traffic than ‘Internet marketing tools’.

So, I was surprised. But I picked the most precise settings on the official Google keyword research tool (aka Google AdWords tool), I picked EXACT match in the dropdown menu and on the screenshot below you can see that these two keywords are reported to have quite the same traffic. You can see what settings I picked to get the results that I got.

I though, “Ok, it is what it is, mostly likely this is a nice overlooked keyword.” But that was just the beginning of getting surprised. Because then I decided to compare the traffic on these keywords in another tool from Google, called Google Insights. Those who do not know this tool can find it here.

Google Insights is not showing you the exact search (at least until you login to your account), but this tool is really great at showing the trends, ups and downs, geo targeting and other interesting info. Plus – this is very important – Google Insights is also an official Google tool. So, I was not using some mumbo-jumbo. I was using an official Google tool that is taking its keyword search data from Google.

So, I simply put ‘Internet marketing’ and ‘Internet marketing tools’ into the search – just to compare the trends. And what I see simply knocks me out. The search volume for ‘Internet marketing’ is marked with the blue line on the screenshot below, and ‘Internet marketing tools’ is marked with the red line.

Blue line is up in the sky. Red line is barely scratching the bottom of the graph. Check the screenshot below…

How the Heck is that Possible?
One Google tool shows that traffic is almost identical,
And another tool says that it is HUGELY different.
Both Tools are from Google!!

Both tools are from Google. Both are official. Both are harvesting on the same keyword data (data of keyword searches in Google). And it is very illogical that they show hugely contradictory info about the same keywords.

It is what it is – the paradox is obvious.

And now we are coming to the most burning topic of this whole issue…

Does that Mean that Using
Google Keyword Tools
Makes No Sense?

The superficial answer seems to be ‘yes’. But my personal answer is, “No, using Google keyword tools still makes perfect sense. And no matter how strange this can sound after showing an evident flaw in their stats, I can prove my point!”

You see, despite all these problems with stats, Google is still covering the biggest part of searches done online. The market research done is giving to Google from 50% to close to 80% of the global market of online searches – different research, different numbers :) But in any case, Google’s part of the pie is HUGE. They can access to the biggest database of searches. And this is very important.

The alternative keyword tools are using search engines that have (if I am not mistaken) less than 1% of the world searches. Come on, who needs the keyword tools whose database is barely reaching the level of statistical mistake?!

I will never make any serious business decision, based on the results of the keyword tool that covers only 1% of world searches. No matter how professional and precise this tool is. I would better use this tool as a secondary helper – yes, this makes sense. But still I prefer to use Google AdWord tool for keyword research.

This is How You Can Use
Google Keyword Tools
EFFECTIVELY
(despite they screw up on numbers)?

I do the following. If this is really important and we are talking about the keywords which are the corner stone for your online business, then use the combination of Google keyword tools.

Start the research from the widely known Google AdWord tool. Then, if you feel doubts – double check the doubts with Google insights.

Just like this. Nice and easy.

And you are still using the tools which are harvesting data from over 50% of the global searches.

Win-win.

Tags: , , , , , , ,
55 Responses to “Google Keyword Tools”
  1. Tiens said on March 24th, 2010 5:26 pm

    Great info.I never knew about google insights.

    Thanks!

  2. Top CD Rates said on March 24th, 2010 5:35 pm

    Also, once you’ve determined that a phrase looks good, make sure you check the strength of your competition. I’ve often had cases where I thought a phrase looked good but then all of the top 10 spots were High PR (6 and greater) with 10000s of links to domain and individual page.

    Insights also gives you an idea of where traffic is headed for a phrase. You don’t want to start targeting a phrase that maybe on its way out.

    As to the above, it would be nice for some explanation. It is weird to have the data be so far apart.

    cd :O)

  3. Alexander said on March 24th, 2010 5:35 pm

    Thanks for the information, especially on how to use Google Insights. Despite of free availability of all Google tools (even directly from your gmail page) there is no time to go through all the info on these pages to find out how it works in 2-3 words and it is good if you can find short and easy to understand explanation of what it is and how to use it. Time is most critical factor I think (at least for me :-) ).

    Alexander

  4. NickD said on March 24th, 2010 5:44 pm

    Good Info,

    I use google keywords tool myself for all keyword trafic demographic research. although I cant help thinking that maybe the high advertiser competition may have something to do with the inflated search count shown in the adwords research tool.

  5. Keith said on March 24th, 2010 5:52 pm

    Simple answer, you are comparing two totally different tools. Insights is showing us keyword usage whereas adwords is showing how advertisers can advertise.

    There is no way both keywords can have the same global volume – searches on internet marketing services etc would see to that. But, what you have found is that Google is ‘admitting’ that if you buy ‘internet marketing tools’, then even when exact matching adverts, Google will display the advert on ‘internet marketing’. There is a degree of intelligence that Google is applying to decide they are near enough and know better than the customer…

    As you said, it shows we cannot take the Adsense results as accurate. They are intended to help advertisers place adverts, not to help us find high performing keywords, which is interesting!

  6. Roger said on March 24th, 2010 5:59 pm

    If your article still leave any doubts which keyword is best, then I’d suggest running a ppc campaign with those 2 keywords and see which keyword gets the most hits over a couple of days.

  7. bryan said on March 24th, 2010 6:00 pm

    I can’t really rely only on one keyword tool. That’s why I use at least two keyword tools when I am having my keyword research.

    Well, basically all keyword softwares are based on Google keyword’s tool data, but still at least it gives me a better understanding of the keywords I’m trying to find out when using two keyword tools.

    Thanks

  8. Steve Shearer said on March 24th, 2010 6:08 pm

    Both results may be true, as with the Google AdWords tool, the results are based on Global Monthly search volume, and the Insights for Search results are based on 2004 to present.

    Could this be a different set of variables?
    Could Insights for Search results be for the individual keywords rather than the exact?

  9. Andrew West said on March 24th, 2010 6:29 pm

    This is very true, and logical. I never really did rely on anything other than Organics from Google anyhow.

  10. Suzanne Morrison said on March 24th, 2010 6:34 pm

    I do a lot of keyword research on the adwords tool, mainly because, as you say, this is the tool that has access to the largest amount of keyword data. I also often notice discrepencies such as differences in the number of searches on a day to day basis and obvious rounding of numbers.

    I wasn’t aware of the Google Insights tool, so thanks for bringing this to my attention.

    Don’t you also think it is rather fishy that both “internet marketing” and “internet marketing tools” have 246,000 searches per month?

    I continue to use these tools, but it would be great if Google could make them more accurate, especially since they have direct access to this data!

    Cheers,
    Suzanne

  11. Free Web Content said on March 24th, 2010 6:50 pm

    I have seen this many times in the past, where the search volumes appear to be miles off, however I must admit I never really thought to much of it at the time. I have noticed this problem in Google data driven keyword tools as well, however these are mostly programatical errors in the filters applied to the raw data, however I agree that using official Google tools is the only way to get any where close to “realistic” results in search traffic volumes.

  12. Credit cards after bankruptcy said on March 24th, 2010 7:25 pm

    Great article. The best approach is to start an adwords campaign to get a true reflection.

  13. Google Top Ranking said on March 24th, 2010 7:35 pm

    Finally someone who elaborates on this problem!

    I have noticed this problem from the beginning of this adwords keyword tool. And I can definitely say that Adwords is lying!
    Thats why I always use Google Trends (same as Insights) together with the Adwords tool. I am still unsure why Google, imo, deliberately shows us false numbers!
    Well, however, I have to ad something important to your article:

    As far as I know the results on insights or trends are based on the “broad match” criteria. That means, the results for “intermet marketing” also have the results for “internet marketing tools” in them! Thus, the huge difference in numnbers.

    Thanks and regards

  14. Ivan said on March 24th, 2010 7:46 pm

    Yeah I’ve noticed this quite a few times as well. But its still the best tool we got so nothing we can really do.

  15. Peter said on March 24th, 2010 7:58 pm

    Very interesting results. I’ve certainly noticed some unexpected numbers previously but never thought of cross checking with Google Insights.

    I guess Google is such a large company that they have different teams working on different projects and hence the reason they may arrive at different results, even though (presumably) they are working with the same sets of data.

    Sort of like the Microsoft world perhaps?

  16. garden supplies said on March 24th, 2010 7:59 pm

    Even freakier that your example above, the external keyword tool can be as much as 90k different to the one in adwords itself. for the exact same search term. It seemed to happen about a fortnight ago, something changed in the external keyword tool, I had a keyword reported at 90,500 local searches for Febuary, when I searched it again this week it reports only 762. the internal adwords tool still reports the same as earlier in the month.

  17. Schnibitz said on March 24th, 2010 8:25 pm

    Good post. Thing is that I don’t think that big G is supplying all the information they should be. Keywords I know for a fact have lots of search volume often times show up as “not enough data” or with low numbers. This happens quite a bit, and it almost makes me wonder if I should ignore the numbers altogether and go with my gut.

  18. mike said on March 24th, 2010 8:37 pm

    I do exactly what you talked about but man i aint seen that sort of huge difference.

  19. Phillip Davis said on March 24th, 2010 8:38 pm

    Great infomation never thought about cross checking google with google will be doing alot of cross checking now. thanks

  20. Article Directory said on March 24th, 2010 8:56 pm

    Interesting post and discussion. This also proves the point that no keyword tool is as important as the one in your head.

  21. dave said on March 24th, 2010 9:11 pm

    You should be using “Phrase” instead of exact and you would see the difference.

  22. Kevin said on March 24th, 2010 10:06 pm

    Now I wonder what is the difference between Google Insights and Google Trends????

  23. Dan Brown Books said on March 24th, 2010 10:15 pm

    I too have noticed this before, and I think the response above from Keith to be very relevant.

    I also wonder if the fact that as Google uses different bots for various reasons, such as differentiating between their Adwords and Organic search results, that the data collected by the different bots is obviously not only used differently but also giving different results?

  24. David said on March 24th, 2010 10:26 pm

    Interesting article, but it doesn’t really tell us that much.

    It would be much more interesting if you could explain how to integrate the insights data with the adwords data.

    In other words, now that you know from insights that “internet marketing tools” has a much lower search volume than “internet marketing”, how can you estimate the volume of “internet marketing tools”?

    Thanks.

  25. Free Web Content said on March 24th, 2010 10:54 pm

    There must be some type of filter applied, I know the data is meant to be raw, but if both types from the keyword tool, and insights were both raw data from the same source they would indeed be the same.

    Maybe they do the same with the search data as they do with inbound links, only show “what they feel like” or as they say a %! All this aside any webmaster who builds up websites has their margins so I guess it is just another reason for us to laugh at Google (lets face it with the money they make and the size they are and how advanced they claim to be you would think they could atleast display some simple figures on a screen!)

    While we are on the subject of Google data, has anyone messed about with the ad position and estimated CPC in the keyword tool? according to the data I can get an estimated position of 1 – 3 for £0.12 for the term “car insurance quotes” yet if i didn’t specify a bid I would expect to pay around £13 for the same term…

    If I could get page one for that term for £0.12 I would be a millionaire! sorry for the offtopic comment, I just thought some people may like another laugh at the expense of the Mighty G (as you can tell I have a love/hate relationship with Google)

  26. Debt Consolidation said on March 24th, 2010 10:59 pm

    Could it be that Google is using two different sets of data just like in the serps right now? One is the regular serps and the other is rolling out what is being called caffeine results. This could be why those tools are being messed up. Once the new caffeine is fully rolled out then these tools may start working properly again.

  27. Marketing Consultant said on March 25th, 2010 12:27 am

    Keith said on March 24th, 2010 5:52 pm ~ said it best.

    But from my personal experience, and I have used a couple of tools including KW Elite, Market Samurai, the list goes on (and on) Some of the best Top Dollar KW tools and Free Ones. I have yet to find any tool that does the work for you. If any 1 tool was that accurate I assure you, it would not be on the market until that particular avenue was all used up and no longer profitable.

    All tools require skills to use them, anyone one that thinks otherwise is just plain silly.

  28. Matt said on March 25th, 2010 2:11 am

    Thankyou for the info, I have been only using adwords tool and trends
    didn’t know about google insights. Thanks again.

  29. Azhar Kamar said on March 25th, 2010 2:30 am

    Yo! Great information. I didn’t know about this before…

    I personally use the Google AdWords Keyword Tool a lot and I find it very helpful. As for Insights for Search, I don’t use it much – I think the Google AdWords Keyword Tool is sufficient.

  30. World Richest Man said on March 25th, 2010 2:41 am

    I never knew about Google Insights, thanks for the info……it’s amazing really.

  31. james said on March 25th, 2010 2:44 am

    I’ve never heard of Google Insights. Does anyone know what the area covered in the “Local searched” in the Google Keyword search tool. Globally is “everywhere” right? But when it comes up with Local, how “local” is it compairing it to?

    Thanks
    James

  32. Larry said on March 25th, 2010 3:28 am

    There is some great interaction here but I have a tendancy to agree with Keith on them about being two different tools. Top CD Rates also had a good point but I take it one step further when comparing all my results.

    When doing research I most generally look at:

    1) Exact Match – Consider this more important than global.
    2) Strength of competition
    3) Commercial Intent – likelihood of a purchase.
    4) Comparing all results

    There are many factors and many ways of doing keyword research and analysis, but I find that these 4 are the most important. Each are determining factors with high significance value.

  33. Sammy - Get My Ex Back Quickly said on March 25th, 2010 4:07 am

    This proves that Google tools only give estimates not accurate data. So instead of fully relying on tools we should split test and find things out for ourselves, if our gut feeling says something contrary to the statistics provided by Google.

    But nobody can deny that the sheer variety and information provided by Google tools is unmatched. And of course no one can beat the price – its all free.

  34. Personal Injury Lawyer said on March 25th, 2010 4:49 am

    Very informative. Google Adword tool always has these kinds of discrepancies. In past, I had a big problem while I picked the wrong keyword using Google Adword tool. Still, I think there is no better alternative for that. It can be used wisely as you mentioned in your article. Great TIP. Thanks for sharing your knowledge and experience.

  35. money making ideas said on March 25th, 2010 5:06 am

    Really good post and the examples. I also came accross this situation for few times, but didn’t pay attention on it as i thought that google might use different parametres in different tools that cause the difference in the data.

  36. Rika Susan's Recipes For Juicers said on March 25th, 2010 5:44 am

    Thanks for an interesting perspective as far as the Google tools are concerned. I have never considered using Insights to check the results of the Keyword tool. I am sure that can be of help. Will keep it in mind.

  37. cyrus selster said on March 25th, 2010 6:02 am

    i was never aware about the google insights and it is really a great tool to cross check the keyword tool from google

    thanks,

    Cyrus

  38. Free High Ranking On Google in 20mins said on March 25th, 2010 10:05 am

    Great post here and very informative. it’s not new that the best stat you can get for any keyword is using not only Google keyword tool, but also Google trends and Google insights.

    This is how i do my combination. when google keyword tool says that a keyword has traffic, it could be past traffic and the present traffic might just be small. So when the trend is checked together with the insights, you have a clear picture.

  39. Mr Bearly said on March 25th, 2010 10:44 am

    What you also don’t see is what Google is doing with IPs and local search.

    It is very difficult to see your real competitors because the only ones you actually see are those from your area. That goes for adwords as well.

    Google think that all marketing on the Internet is only relevant to the local search and they use the host IP of your site to help identify ‘your’ customers. Too bad if you think you have a product relevant to more than just your local area, you will have to host your site on hundreds of servers and you’ll have to write it with the local language for each site.

    Good luck.

  40. Free Online Education said on March 25th, 2010 10:49 am

    Great information guys. I never heard of insights before. Only used the Adwords keyword tool. I should try and check it out! After all Google does give us a lot of traffic. Thanks!

  41. Daniel Petrucelli said on March 25th, 2010 1:07 pm

    I have a YouTube account and use the insights tool there but did not know that Google had a insights tool for key words and trends. Very interesting post and will I start to cross reference. After all, spending the time I do to pick key words is valuable time.
    Thank you for the post.

    Daneil

  42. Timothy Millar said on March 25th, 2010 2:10 pm

    Great insight! I believe this is an example of Paid tool compared to free tool. Ofcourse this is all Computer related so “someone” had to feed these numbers in and that always leaves room for error. Try again in 3 days and you will get completely different numbers, I never go by the first set.

  43. Free Web Content said on March 25th, 2010 2:10 pm

    I used Market Samurai for a while, but I must admit I was not impressed, in reality they are just putting together what they think the figures should be however we have no real way of knowing what the future figures will be, (I guess this actually makes trends both handy and a pain at the same time.

    The Google data has (and probably always will be wrong) I personally think its a case of being brave enough to take on the keyword, In reality anyone given the right amount of time effort and budget can rank for any keyword on any domain.

    When I am looking for keywords I try more to work current trends in, and use that as an extra push for more “hardened keywords” Things like football shirts, and seasonal things, there not really something you can find accurate data on in the first place mid season as the “peak” is gone however by using some “logic” based on Google keyword data, trends, and any other data you can find you can do great seasonal affiliate marketing.

    The other way and this is for “more involved” online earners who have a budget, set up an adwords acccount using a site that shows up on page 1 for your [Keyword] search, set your budget up to a $5 or less, and make sure your max bid gets you on page one and you can monitor the impressions. (I think someone mentioned this earlier in the post!) but it does work out well although you are actually sending traffic to your soon to be competitors!

  44. houseofmax said on March 25th, 2010 3:25 pm

    Very interesting case study; although, I don’t think you should expect the two search terms that show the same numbers (strange)at a moment in time presently should follow the same statistical trend over a number or 6 years.

    Thanks for sharing,

    James

  45. London Escorts said on March 25th, 2010 3:26 pm

    I think in our industry we always take the google stats with a pinch of salt anyways!

  46. Douglas said on March 25th, 2010 5:46 pm

    Follow up Post above re: google accuracy. Here are two exact keywords showing different volume but about the same price.

    ad writing $2.34 6600
    ad writing $2.44 0.86 590 590

  47. Graphic Designer said on March 25th, 2010 6:07 pm

    I was also unaware of the Google Insights Tool, however I don’t think I will quit using the Google Keyword Tool. I wonder if Google would like to shed some light on this matter – you should ask for an official response!

  48. Home Security said on March 25th, 2010 8:26 pm

    Great info on keyword research here! I’ve have many keywords which rank quite nicely and give me good steady traffic – but hardly show up on the Google keyword tool. I’m not sure I belive its data. Its best to try and think outside the box and come up with your own ideas of keyword research. Dont follow the masses!
    Thanks for the tip on Insights.

  49. Paul W. Anderson said on March 26th, 2010 3:33 am

    What I learned in statistics classes in college is to not take stat results at face value, but to put them in a larger context, this context for the Google Paradox would be that as always Google deliberately keeps us marketeers guessing a bit. Just like She never shows us all available keywords (i.e. the difference between numbers of exact vs phrase keyword searches.

  50. Cleaning Black Mold said on March 27th, 2010 4:53 pm

    My brother and I have been in the same argument for 2 years now. Which one do you use? With the obvious flaws in data for Google (this is not the first time for us) and contradictory information with everyone else (market samuri, paid wordtracker) which keyword tool do you trust?

    It is quite simple, just pick one and stay with it. Period.

    When you only use one source and get it figured out (x amount of stats = x amount of traffic) then you can target with precision. If you keep using different ones and doubting ALL of them then you become gun shy of any result, resulting in confusion and low productivity due to over analyzing.

    This is what we have done and it is starting to work well.

    No I’m not telling which one! :P :)

    Brian Ankner

  51. Dhar said on April 1st, 2010 10:03 am

    I am extremely grateful for the tricks and the information above is a very useful very useful very necessary to put into practice a try.

  52. C DePuy said on April 2nd, 2010 3:38 pm

    It is possible that the normalization process that creates the insights graphs is not working properly.

  53. Paralegal Work said on April 6th, 2010 5:19 pm

    Wow! There’s a lot of research in this article and broken down simply enough to understand. Appreciate very much the valuable info!

  54. Charles Cornelius said on April 9th, 2010 7:41 am

    We can never really know the full ins and outs of Google tools. OP’s right that their keyword research tools are contradictory, but it’s still a win-win for all…

    Anyway, we can always test and draw conclusions but nothing will happen if we just sit and “research”.

  55. mobility recliner chairs said on June 4th, 2010 12:53 pm

    Great article – thanks for sharing this info :)